
I admit it. I’ve been drinking the Kool-Aid too. Cleveland is among the 3 or 4 elite teams in the NBA and LeBron is a near lock for MVP. Right? The NBA community sure seems to think so. Just take a look at the latest power rankings:
Hollinger: #2
Stein: #3
NBA.com: #1
And the Hollinger ranking was made AFTER the Detroit loss. Any chance we might be jumping the gun on both LeBron and the Cavaliers? The evidence suggests we might…
Current record: 9-3
However, every one of their wins has come against bad teams (with the possible exception of Denver). They’ve beaten Dallas, Indiana, Milwaukee, Denver, Utah w/no Deron, NJ and Chicago twice. Their combined records are 43-48, and that’s with Denver at 8-4.
They’ve played 3 tough teams - Boston, New Orleans and Detroit, and lost to all of them.
Lebron’s current averages are 29pts/8rbd/7ast and shooting 48%. Amazing to be sure. But how has he done against the real title contenders?
vs BOS: 22/7/6 @ 42%
vs NO: 15/7/13 @ 40%
vs DET: 25/6/6 @ 38%
All off his average. Obviously you might expect his numbers to dip somewhat against better competition, but the shooting % is the most telling. When playing teams that don’t allow him to drive to basket like he’s merging onto the freeway, he’s only shooting 40%. And that’s with him drastically cutting down his 3pt attempts this year; taking just 39 so far (which he’s shooting at 25% btw).
That said, Cleveland is beating the teams they should beat. They’re clearly better than they were last year and LBJ might be the MVP come May. But I think it’s also clear that they don’t deserve the high rankings, or to be talked about in the same breath as Boston or Detroit in the East. Not just yet.
Unfortunately, we won’t find out how good they really are anytime soon. Cleveland’s easy schedule continues through December. The “toughest” games they have are Toronto, Houston, and suddenly struggling Atlanta twice. We’ll really see what they’re made of in January when they play Boston, NO, LA, Portland and Orlando.
Till then, the jury is out…